Thursday, 30 January 2014

GBPUSD ready to reverse

Hi Traders,

The GBPUSD stopped and reversed at 1.6668, a good "figure" short of my target at 1.6763-1.6810.

Although there's still a some potential for the very last jump up to the target at 1.6763-1.6810, that would be the Swan Song.

With or without jump, it's almost ready for a downtrend to the area 1.6127-1.6036 although the Wave Oscillator keeps warning to wait for a safe entry cross of the red lines.

TARGETS

first to 1.6763-1.6810 (maybe)

then

likely: 1.6127-1.6036
possibly: 1.6029-1.5963
maybe: 1.5859-1.5831


ENTRY

Entry only when the red lines of the wave oscillator cross. This is not happening in daily chart nor in the 4-hour chart.


ELLIOTT WAVES

Check the monthly chart. Theoretically the Pound is heading down to the area 1.60-1.58 and then back up to 1.70.

The weekly chart displays the target areas in green (calculated with the Fibonacci Queen Method) and blue (for simple Fibonacci calculations)

The daily chart shows the completion of 5 waves up. Note also the last 3 "doji" candles signalling weakness.

The 4-hour chart displays 5 complete waves up as well.




monthly chart - click to enlarge







weekly chart - click to enlarge







daily chart - click to enlarge






wave oscillator over the daily chart - click to enlarge







4-hour chart - click to enlarge







wave oscillator over the 4-hour chart - click to enlarge






1-hour chart - click to enlarge 





wave oscillator over the 1-hour chart - click to enlarge



Monday, 27 January 2014

USDJPY, last dive before the last rally

Hi Traders,

The USDJPY (now at 102.76 ) might soon take the last dive to the area 101.76-101.51 before starting the very last major rally to 106.59 or higher.

TARGETS 

first: down to 101.76-101.51

then up to

likely: 105.50
possibly: 106.59
maybe: area 107.55 -108.52

ELLIOTT WAVES

The weekly chart displays the uptrend that started at the end of OCT 2011. 4 major waves up are clearly identifiable (in blue) but major wave 5 is not completed yet. 

The daily chart shows 4 intermediate waves although minor wave 4 won't be completed unless it reaches the area 101.76-101.51 (4-hour chart).







monthly chart - click to enlarge







weekly chart - click to enlarge







daily chart - click to enlarge






wave oscillator over the daily chart - click to enlarge







4-hour chart - click to enlarge







wave oscillator over the 4-hour chart - click to enlarge








1-hour chart - click to enlarge 






wave oscillator over the 1-hour chart - click to enlarge

Friday, 24 January 2014

GBPUSD reversal

Hi  Traders

The GBPUSD  - now at 1.6500 - missed the target for a whisker and reversed. It's now heading towards 1.6020.

TARGETS:

likely: 1.6383
possible: 1.62 - 1.6130
maybe 1.6020

ELLIOTT WAVES

The weekly chart shows the completion of wave 3 up. Theoretically, the Pound should stage wave 4 down to 1.5841 and wave 5 up to the area 1.6763-1.6810.






monthly chart - click to enlarge









weekly chart - click to enlarge






daily chart - click to enlarge






wave oscillator over the daily chart - click to enlarge






4-hour chart - click to enlarge







wave oscillator over the 4-hour chart - click to enlarge







1-hour chart - click to enlarge 





wave oscillator over the 1-hour chart - click to enlarge




Thursday, 23 January 2014

SPI200 heading south

Hi Traders,

The SPI200, now at 5211, is heading to 5000 and much lower. We're expecting a small rebound to 5238 when it touches the support around 5190.

Level 5238 could be a good entry point.

TARGETS

likely: 5065-5040
possibly: 4942
maybe: 4860

ELLIOTT WAVES

The weekly chart shows that the SPI200 completed waves 1,2 and 3 and it's now developing wave 4 with a zigzag or a flat lasting several months.

The operational range of this zigzag or flat should be between 5460 and 4660 or lower.




Monthly chart, click to enlarge







Weekly chart, click to enlarge





 Daily chart, click to enlarge





Wave oscillator applied to the daily chart, click to enlarge





4-hour chart, click to enlarge






wave oscillator applied to the 4-hour chart, click to enlarge





1-hour chart, click to enlarge





wave oscillator applied to the 1-hour chart, click to enlarge





Tuesday, 21 January 2014

EURUSD, according to plan

Hi Traders,

The EURUSD, now a 1.3550, did exactly as predicted and seems to be heading to 1.30.

TARGETS

likely: 1.3470-1.3451
possibly: 1.3318-1.3290
maybe: 1.3175-1.3159

ELLIOTT WAVES

After a gigantic a-b-c-d the EURUSD performed 5 waves down (wave 1 in Magenta in the weekly chart) and a retracement up with two-step pattern (wave 2 in Magenta in the weekly chart).

Theoretically, this should be followed by 5 waves down well below 1.2970-80, if the Euro breaks this important support.


NOTE

The Euro might attempt to rally to 1.3597 before resuming the downtrend.




Monthly chart, click to enlarge







Weekly chart, click to enlarge





 Daily chart, click to enlarge





Wave oscillator applied to the daily chart, click to enlarge





4-hour chart, click to enlarge






wave oscillator applied to the 4-hour chart, click to enlarge





1-hour chart, click to enlarge





wave oscillator applied to the 1-hour chart, click to enlarge






Monday, 20 January 2014

AUDUSD, rebound

Hi Traders,

The AUDUSD (now at 0.8762) has almost reached the target around 0.8750. This should be followed by a short rally to 0.8864-0.8900 before resuming the downtrend to 0.8067-0.8047.

If the pattern that is unfolding is an "Expanded Flat" the new rally could be more substantial. See the note below.  


TARGETS

first: 0.8864-0.8900

then:

likely: 0.8613
possibly: 0.8427
maybe: 0.8067-0.8047

ELLIOTT WAVES

After point "d", the AUDUSD seems to be staging a very long "wave e" (weekly chart). This can either be in 3 or 5 waves

NOTE:

There's a chance that we are witnessing an "Expanded Flat" in the daily chart

If this is the case, point "2" (in magenta) should be renamed "a" followed by "b" around 0.8750 and "c" around 0.9148-0.9166.

Hence, the temporary rally could take the pair to 0.9148-0.9166 before resuming the downtrend.


WAVE OSCILLATOR

Enter your trade only when you have a valid cross of the 2 inside lines in the daily or 4-hour charts.

Remember to place your "trailing stop" according to the "instructions" from the wave oscillator.





monthly chart - click to enlarge







weekly chart - click to enlarge







daily chart - click to enlarge






wave oscillator over the daily chart - click to enlarge







4-hour chart - click to enlarge







wave oscillator over the 4-hour chart - click to enlarge







1-hour chart - click to enlarge 






wave oscillator over the 1-hour chart - click to enlarge




Saturday, 11 January 2014

GOLD on target

Hi Traders,

GOLD - now at 1248 - is on its way to 1408-1411.


ELLIOTT WAVES:

The daily chart shows that intermediate wave 3 (up) is on its way. The 4-hour chart displays Minor wave 1 and 2. Minor wave 3 should take it to 1307.


TARGETS:

likely: 1307 and 1335
possibly: 1408-1411
maybe: area 1469-1474

NOTE:

The weekly charts displays a further target in the area 1525-1536. At present,  it's still a feasible target.



weekly chart - click to enlarge





daily chart - click to enlarge





wave oscillator applied to the daily chart - click to enlarge





4-hour chart - click to enlarge






wave oscillator applied to the 4-hour chart - click to enlarge







1-hour chart - click to enlarge




wave oscillator applied to the 1-hour chart - click to enlarge