GBPUSD, double top

Hi Traders,

Before getting into the analysis of GBPUSD, don't forget to REGISTER FOR THE 2-HOUR ELLIOTT WAVES FREE SEMINAR IN SYDNEY TOMORROW.

• Thursday 31 October - Free SEMINAR (6-8pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free seminars)

All this powerfully organised & hosted by the mighty City Index in Sydney.

At the Seminar you will have a fair idea of "How to":

• recognise & label each wave properly
• predict the direction of new trends
• correctly identify the starting point of new trends
• determine targets
• identify Entry and Exit point in daily, 4-hour and 1-hour charts.

Your approach to trading will change forever. This is a chance NOT TO BE MISSED to get a true insight of Elliott Wave Trading. 



TO BE SURE THAT YOU GET YOUR SEAT call Richard Vatner +61(0)2 9270 3618 and mention "MDC" (Mario D. Conti) or leave a message.

ANALYSIS: GBPUSD

The Pound (now at 1.6050) displays a double top in the daily chart that should take the pair to the area 1.5706-1.5692. Be aware that in the very short term (1-hour chart) it might bounce back to the area 1.6097-1.6109 or higher.

That should be your entry point to the target far below.

TARGETS:

first to: 1.6097-1.6109
then
likely:  1.5706-1.5692
possibly: 1.56
maybe: 1.5542

ELLIOTT WAVES:

The GBPUSD is in a uptrend and performed 3 waves up (out of 5). The one it's performing now is the retracement wave 4. Hence, don't expect the Pound to move down in one go.

If this analysis is correct, it will display 3 to 5 waves down (a-b-c or a-b-c-d-e).

NOTE:

I'm under the impression that the BOE entered with an heavy hand around 1.6260. However, it should leave the market alone as long as the pounds keeps dropping.

monthly chart - click to enlarge

weekly chart - click to enlarge

daily chart - click to enlarge

wave oscillator over the daily chart - click to enlarge

4-hour chart - click to enlarge

wave oscillator over the 4-hour chart - click to enlarge

1-hour chart - click to enlarge 

wave oscillator over the 1-hour chart - click to enlarge

WTI OIL

Hi Traders,

Before getting into the analysis of WTI OIL, don't forget my webinars and seminars this week.

• Monday 28 October - Free Webinar (8-9pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free webinars) 

• Thursday 31 October - Free SEMINAR (6-8pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free seminars)

All this powerfully organised & hosted by the mighty City Index in Sydney.

At the Seminar you will have a fair idea of "How to":

• recognise & label each wave properly
• predict the direction of new trends
• correctly identify the starting point of new trends
• determine targets
• identify Entry and Exit point in daily, 4-hour and 1-hour charts.

Your approach to trading will change forever. This is a chance NOT TO BE MISSED to get a true insight of Elliott Wave Trading. 

TO BE SURE THAT YOU GET YOUR SEAT call Richard Vatner +61(0)2 9270 3618 and mention "MDC" (Mario D. Conti) or leave a message. 

...

THE ANALYSIS: WTI OIL

The WTI OIL (now at 97.90) stopped right on a major support. However, it might set another attempt to drop to the 95 area before starting the new uptrend.
  
TARGETS

First: 95-95.90

then 

likely: 98.60-98.88
possibly: 101.72-102.07
maybe: 104-104.31

ELLIOTT WAVES

Although the daily chart displays 5 waves down, the 1-hour chart shows only  wave 4 (in red), stating the need of wave 5 and a new low (or a double bottom). Then the new uptrend should start.

NOTE:

The 1-hour chart also displays a double bottom and a reversal candlestick but those patterns may not be enough to justify a new uptrend straight away.

If this analysis is correct, we still need this little 5th wave downwards (in the 1-hour chart) before starting the new uptrend.

Weekly chart, click to enlarge

 Daily chart, click to enlarge

Wave oscillator applied to the daily chart, click to enlarge

4-hour chart, click to enlarge

wave oscillator applied to the 4-hour chart, click to enlarge

1-hour chart, click to enlarge

wave oscillator applied to the 1-hour chart, click to enlarge

AUDUSD perfect entry

Hi Traders,

Before getting into the analysis of AUDUSD, don't forget my webinars and seminars below.

• Monday 28 October - Free Webinar (8-9pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free webinars) 

• Thursday 31 October - Free SEMINAR (6-8pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free seminars)

All this powerfully organised & hosted by the mighty City Index in Sydney.

At the Seminar you will have a fair idea of "How to":

• recognise & label each wave properly
• predict the direction of new trends
• correctly identify the starting point of new trends
• determine targets
• identify Entry and Exit point in daily, 4-hour and 1-hour charts.

Your approach to trading will change forever. This is a chance NOT TO BE MISSED to get a true insight of Elliott Wave Trading. 

TO BE SURE THAT YOU GET YOUR SEAT call Richard Vatner +61(0)2 9270 3618 and mention "MDC" (Mario D. Conti) or leave a message. 

...

THE ANALYSIS: AUDUSD, perfect entry

Hi Traders,

The AUDUSD (now at 0.9620) seems to have completed 5 waves up, closing  perfectly within the range target calculated with the method of the Fibonacci Queen (in the 1-hour chart). The pair seems to have started a new downtrend.

TARGETS

Likely: 0.9532-0.9511
Possibly: 0.9220
Maybe: 0.91.94-0.9187

ENTRY

It shouldn't bounce back up. Theoretically any entry is good as the 1-hour wave oscillator is shorting already. 

weekly chart - click to enlarge

daily chart - click to enlarge

wave oscillator over the daily chart - click to enlarge

4-hour chart - click to enlarge

wave oscillator over the 4-hour chart - click to enlarge

1-hour chart - click to enlarge 

wave oscillator over the 1-hour chart - click to enlarge

AUDJPY, new downtrend

Hi Traders,

Before getting into the analysis of AUDJPY let's check some news.

I'm running some free webinars and free seminars (see below). To register click the links below.

OCTOBER CALENDAR

• Monday 28 October - Free Webinar (8-9pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free webinars) 

• Thursday 31 October - Free SEMINAR (6-8pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free seminars)

All this powerfully organised & hosted by the mighty City Index in Sydney.

At the Seminar you will have a fair idea of "How to":

• recognise & label each wave properly
• predict the direction of new trends
• correctly identify the starting point of new trends
• determine targets
• identify Entry and Exit point in daily, 4-hour and 1-hour charts.

Your approach to trading will change forever. This is a chance NOT TO BE MISSED to get a true insight of Elliott Wave Trading. 

TO BE SURE THAT YOU GET YOUR SEAT call Richard Vatner +61(0)2 9270 3618 and mention "MDC" (Mario D. Conti) or leave a message. 

...

FINALLY

The trading account opened on 16/10/13 (where I place some of the trades I suggest):

New Equity: +$284.9

Unrealized: 0.00

...

THE ANALYSIS: AUDJPY, new downtrend

Hi Traders,

The AUDJPY (now at 93.60) just started a new downtrend that might take it to the area 91-90. This was triggered by a double top in the 1-hour chart. 

TARGETS

Likely: 92.12
Possibly: 91.66-90.90
Maybe: 90.00

ELLIOTT WAVES

The AUDJPY is still in a major uptrend as displayed in the weekly chart but the pair completed 5 minor waves that constitute wave 1 up (in blue). Hence, it started the correction wave 2 that should take it to 92-91.


NOTE: The "wave oscillator" just confirmed the entry in the 4-hour chart. However, there could be a pullback to 94-94.2. That should be your ideal entry point.

    

weekly chart - click to enlarge

daily chart - click to enlarge

wave oscillator over the daily chart - click to enlarge

4-hour chart - click to enlarge

wave oscillator over the 4-hour chart - click to enlarge

1-hour chart - click to enlarge 

wave oscillator over the 1-hour chart - click to enlarge

Gold approaching a minor top

Hi Traders,

Before getting into the analysis of GOLD let's check some news.

I'm running some free webinars and free seminars (see below). To register click the links below.

OCTOBER CALENDAR

 

• Monday 28 October - Free Webinar (8-9pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free webinars) 

• Thursday 31 October - Free SEMINAR (6-8pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free seminars)

All this powerfully organised & hosted by the mighty City Index in Sydney.

At the Seminar you will have a fair idea of "How to":

• recognise & label each wave properly
• predict the direction of new trends
• correctly identify the starting point of new trends
• determine targets
• identify Entry and Exit point in daily, 4-hour and 1-hour charts.

Your approach to trading will change forever. This is a chance NOT TO BE MISSED to get a true insight of Elliott Wave Trading. Hence, BE SURE THAT YOU GET YOUR SEAT!

If you want to be part of it call Richard Vatner +61(0)2 9270 3618 and mention "MDC" (Mario D. Conti) or leave a message. 

...

FINALLY,
 Trading account opened on 16/10/13 (where I place some of the trades I suggest):

New Equity: +$284.9

Unrealized: 0.00

...

THE ANALYSIS: GOLD, approaching a minor top

Hi Traders,

Once again, GOLD  (now at 1335) did exactly as predicted. The "new significant uptrend - labelled "wave 3" (daily chart)" started up.

The yellow metal should reach a minor top shortly, followed by a minor retracement. Then the uptrend would resume.

The traders of the 1-hour & 4 hour chart might want to target the minor top around 1347-62 to avoid the subsequent pull back to 1313-07. 

The Traders of the daily chart might want to hold on till the minimum target at  1488 and maybe the area 1531-1534. 

TARGETS

Fibonacci Queen's clusters of targets (in green in the daily chart)

1408-1412
1465-75

Other Fibonacci Targets

likely: area 1447-1462
possible: 1488
maybe: 1531-1534 

ELLIOTT WAVES

The daily chart displays wave 1 & 2 and started wave 3. If this is just a "two-step pattern" Gold should reach 1488 as a minimum.

It this a complete new trend and we are witnessing the mighty "wave 3", Gold might break the ceiling. At this stage I have no element to decide which one is which. 

 

HINT: always wait for a signal of the "wave oscillator" before getting in & out.    

    

weekly chart - click to enlarge

daily chart - click to enlarge

 

wave oscillator over the daily chart - click to enlarge

 

4-hour chart - click to enlarge

wave oscillator over the 4-hour chart - click to enlarge

1-hour chart - click to enlarge 

wave oscillator over the 1-hour chart - click to enlarge

 

EURUSD, targets

Hi Traders,

I checked the targets of the EURUSD by means of the technique developed by the Fibonacci Queen (Carolyn Boroden) and I got some interesting result.

As you can see by the daily chart we have some "Clusters of Projections". The "old one" was at 1.3673.

I dare say that the Euro was perfectly on target on Friday given that we had a top around 1.37.

The other two targets are equally interesting as you can see below. The hypothetical reason explained below.

TARGETS

likely: area1.3798-1.3820

possibly: around 1.4070

ELLIOTT WAVES

The Euro is performing a two-step pattern (1-2-3) in the weekly chart. Wave 1 & 2 developed completely. Wave 3 will be sub-divided in 5 smaller waves. Of these, wave 1 & 2 are completed (daily chart). Wave 3 should top at level 1.38.

weekly chart - click to enlarge

daily chart - click to enlarge

AUDUSD, double top

Hi Traders,

Before getting into the analysis of AUDUSD let's check some news.

I'm running some free webinars and free seminars (see below). To register click the links below.

OCTOBER CALENDAR

• Monday 14 October - Free Webinar (8-9pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free webinar)

• Monday 28 October - Free Webinar (8-9pm, Sydney time). I don't have the link to this webinar yet. 

• Thursday 31 October - Free SEMINAR (6-8pm, Sydney time) or check the button (next free seminar)

All this powerfully organised & hosted by the mighty City Index in Sydney.

MOST IMPORTANTLY

• Monday Nov 11 and Tuesday Nov 12: ELLIOTT WAVE BOOTCAMP, (16 hours) in a venue to be confirmed soon.

At this BOOTCAMP you will be taken on a journey through the identification and practical use of Elliott Waves.

You will be able to:

• recognise & label each wave properly
• predict the direction of new trends
• correctly identify the starting point of new trends
• determine targets
• identify Entry and Exit point in daily, 4-hour and 1-hour charts.

Your approach to trading will change forever. This is an unmissable chance to get a true insight of Elliott Wave Trading. Hence, don't miss it!

If you want to be part of it call Richard Vatner +61(0)2 9270 3618 and mention "MDC" (Mario D. Conti) or leave a message. 

...

FINALLY,

I set up a trading account where I place the trades I suggest. I'll keep you posted.

...

THE ANALYSIS: AUDUSD double top

Hi Traders,

AUDUSD performed a double top on the 4-hour chart. It seems to be heading to 0.9237.

TARGETS

likely: area 0.9385-0.9382
possible: 0.9358-0.9349
maybe: 0.9237

ELLIOTT WAVES

It's hard to believe that the retracement of wave 1 (from point d - in magenta -  to point 1 - in red) in the weekly chart is complete unless the US dollar strengthens tremendously in the incoming days.

At present I prefer the solution of an Aussie retracing a bit to 0.9237 with an  a-b-c (daily and 4-hour chart) and then heading back to 0.97 in 5 waves. 

NOTE:

If a temporary rise of the "debt ceiling" is agreed by the American Congress  but its NOT followed by a definitive agreement within Nov 22, The FED might be attempted to sell some gold to pay the debts, with devastating effects on commodities and currencies.

BTW: so far there's no "sign" of such an event in the charts.

ENTRY: entry around 0.9443-47 but wait for a signal of the "wave oscillator" - in the 1-hour chart - before getting in.
  

monthly chart - click to enlarge

    

weekly chart - click to enlarge

daily chart - click to enlarge

wave oscillator over daily chart - click to enlarge

4-hour chart - click to enlarge

wave oscillator over 4-hour chart - click to enlarge

1-hour chart - click to enlarge

wave oscillator over 1-hour chart - click to enlarge